
– Research and development of Mars is not a cheap indulgence. What do we expect to get in return?
There are
two aspects of Mars exploration – scientific and social. Of course, we want to
get an answer to the fundamental question – whether there was life on Mars?
This question concerns not only Mars, but also the entire nature of our
universe – whether there is something out there capable of creating life? Is
life based on a natural development
from chemistry, or was there once some highly improbable almost miraculous event that gave rise to
life on Earth?
90 years
ago the Russian scientist Alexander Oparin, author of "The Origin of
Life", outlined a possible scheme for the development of life from
chemicals that may have existed on our planet in the early period of its
development. The most important thing in his work is the concept of progressive
complexity of the chemical structure from simple to more complex substances, to
self-reproducing systems, to life. Scientists have already diverged from his particular scheme, but the idea
remains a matter of great interest. We still do not know whether the appearance
of life was something natural and almost inevitable, that would have surely
happened in such a context, or its appearance was an incredible coincidence,
the result of a random interaction of a whole set of chemicals that led to the
formation of an unusually structured DNA molecules. If everything was
inevitable, it means that other planets inhabited by living beings are rotating
around most stars of our
spectral type, and some of those
living beings are rational. Because you know the history of life on Earth is
the story of the development, the transition of life from simple to more
complex forms that have greater ability to function, a more developed
intelligence and an ability to evolve even faster. This is one concept of the
universe.
The essence
of the other concept is that the universe is dead. Life somehow managed to
appear here on Earth, but the rest of
space is empty of life.
People have
been trying to find an answer to these questions for thousands of years and now
we are close to the answer if we make a flight to Mars. After all, if it turns
out that both planets we have studied have or have once had life forms on them,
then the existence of living creatures in the rest of the universe is highly probable.
Imagine
that you live in an apartment, you never go out or leave it, and you do not
even have a TV. You will be in complete ignorance of the rest of the world. And
suddenly you receive a letter stating that you have won the lottery. You cannot
say whether you are the only person ever to receive such a letter, or that it
is a general occurrence. But if you could go out into the corridor, go up to
your neighbor and say, "Look, I have won the lottery!", and she answers, "I have also won the
lottery", and then you would understand that this is likely to happen
quite often. So it is with life in the universe.
But there
are other questions. Will we be able to live somewhere else? What is the future
of mankind? Will we be tied to the Earth or be able to change our habitat? If
we succeed on Mars will we be able to repeat it somewhere else? The answer to these questions not only
affects the future, but also the present. The way people think about the future
determines their actions in the present. This is an extremely important point. For example, we can ask
ourselves whether resources are finite or infinite. If you believe that they
are finite, you will then perceive every person and every nation as an enemy,
you will have to start a new war to subdue them. Adolf Hitler said: "The
laws of existence require continuous killing to let the best people live".
He uttered the phrase in October 1941, in the same month when he issued the
order to kill all the inhabitants of Leningrad. The Germans said that they
needed space to live, so they must kill all those people. But it was a lie –
not just evil, but also a lie because this idea corresponded to reality only in
their minds. Germany did not need the additional space to live. Today Germany
occupies a smaller area than in the days of the Nazis, while its population and
living standards have risen markedly. They did not need to do what they did;
such a need existed only in their heads. If people think that the planet's
resources which are available to mankind are limited, this will result in
failure for everyone. Then everyone will start wanting inhabitants of other
countries to die because they all use the same resources. This is similar to
insanity, isn’t it?
– Does this
mean that there is no lack of territory, food and other resources, and that it
won’t occur in the near future, that the problem is only in the people’s minds?
The danger
is not the lack of food. The danger comes from people who think that there is
not enough food for everyone. And the danger is not that we supposedly have
little land. The danger comes from people who believe that there is not enough
earth for everyone. Do you know why the people in this room do not kill each
other in order to get all the air? If we run out of air, we will die, so why
don’t we fight for it? Because we’re quite sure that there is enough air for
everyone, and there is no need to fight for it. We can’t live longer than a
couple of minutes without air, but we won’t fight for it, because its reserves
are not limited. Although the amount of air in this room is finite, we know
that there is plenty of air outside. You can simply open the door and go
outside. But if we thought that the air in the room is all that we had, and
other people breathed it, and therefore pose a threat to our own lives, we
would have attacked them and force them to stop breathing. Is that not right? This
is the crux of the problem. The risk of running out of air doesn’t exist, but
there is always the danger that someone will turn up one day and suddenly
decide that we're running out of air. We'll have to show them that you can
always open the door.
Therefore,
there are two concepts of the future: one leads to war and destruction, the
other leads to peace and prosperity. It all depends on which one we might
accept. The notion that the Earth and humanity have a limited supply of
resources still has many supporters. It is shared by lots of people; it is
promoted by various organizations, which poses a great danger. But people can be shown that our horizons are
constantly expanding, that the entire universe is available to us, not just the
Earth. This makes the concept of the finiteness of resources incorrect,
undermining its foundation, and proves the correctness of the second concept. Other people and other nations don't take
from us, they create and invent for us. The more people there are, and the
better off they are, the more inventors and inventions there will be.
Mankind appeared in the universe not to destroy but to build. This is a
struggle between two ideas, and the concept that people are able to explore
space, colonize other planets and gain access to new resources has the greatest
creative potential. We have endless possibilities, and our future is limited
only by our creativity, rather than any physical boundaries.
– In
addition to Mars exploration, in your opinion are there any other global engineering
problems which now face humanity?
Of course,
we have to find solutions to new problems, for example, with regard to finding
sources of energy. Locally we solve this problem every time we find a new oil
field. But a more serious response to this challenge will be the invention of a
new energy technology and the creation
of new energy resources. Uranium didn’t become an energy resource until
we discovered nuclear energy. Right now we are developing the technology of
nuclear fusion, and it will turn deuterium into an energy resource. Deuterium is a heavy hydrogen, which is
currently not included in the number of energy resources. We must learn to use
this resource for when all the oil fields are depleted. The mission of humanity
is to create or discover new resources with the help of our creative ability.
Mankind has not survived by sitting idly back, but due to the creation of new
resources – that is what we need to
do. Helium -3 may become a promising energy resource in the future, which is
the ideal fuel for a nuclear fusion reactor in the outer solar system. But it
will be available to us only when we become fully-fledged space explorers as
the nearest supply of it is on the moon.
We must
understand that people are not native inhabitants of the whole of planet Earth
– they are native inhabitants of Kenya. It is where we all come from. We were
not born to live in Russia or North America. We are tropical animals with long,
thin arms without fur. Is that not right? People can live in all parts of the world
only because of the technical ingenuity of our ancestors. In some parts of
Russia, or in my native Colorado, we would be unable to live a single winter day without appropriate
technology, such as houses, clothing, fire, etc. If we stayed in the environment
to which we were adapted by nature for too long, we would never have gone
beyond the Kenyan Rift Valley. We would only have used the resources available
in this valley; we would have hunted the local animals and gathered the native
plants. Our plans for the future would have been very modest. It’s not too
tempting a prospect, especially from the position of what we have today, right?
But in improving technology, we managed to become a global type, including
hundreds of nations, cultures, languages, types of social organization with a
large variety of technical inventions. Some people create something that will
then be used by many others. But our prospects and opportunities will be much
greater if we can explore space. Then our descendants will consider our present
state to be as primitive as the Stone Age seems to us.
Space is
huge. Mars is not our destination, but our direction. This is an important step
that we have to take. But it’s just the next step, not the last one.
Robert Zubrin: schoolchild and engineer.
– There is
a point of view that the desire for expansion is inherent to man and human
nature. It happens when a person just comes out of their cave, heads towards
the river, moves to the other side and continues to expand their
territory...
In general
I agree with this opinion. But I do not believe that such a development is
inevitable. It is a matter of choice. Not everyone crosses the river. Some of
them remain on one river bank and continue to exist; some of them die because
of limited opportunities. In the past, our ancestors were fish that inhabited
the oceans. Now the oceans are still full of fish, but only on land can you see
the stars, only here it was possible to invent fire and other technologies. If
we stayed in a confined space, we would not have created civilization and would not dream of space travel.
So not
everyone swims across the river, and the only question is whether we'll meet
other civilizations on the other bank of the river. We've seen the death of
many civilizations. In the 20th century our Western civilization almost died
too. But in 1914 people lived better
than they ever had before. If you look at how the world changed from
1815 to 1914, you will see many amazing things: we invented steam engines,
railways, telegraphs, electricity, record players, movies, airplanes. Quality
of life rose dramatically; we
found cures for many diseases, which previously had seemed to be incurable, and
many more free people occupied the world. Everything was getting better and better, but the great leaders suddenly
began to argue for some reason about the boundaries of small Balkan countries,
and everything went to pieces. Everything exploded. The First World War was a
colossal disaster, which would be followed by other even more devastating wars.
Great nations need ways to express their greatness. But that is no reason to
exert political influence on other countries to impose your policies, as it was
in the Balkans, the Middle East or other regions. I'm certain of it. Europe would have been much better off in
1914 if it had thought more about Mars, and less about Serbia and the murder of
the Archduke. If we become open in a new way, if we can turn into space-faring people, it will free us from our apparent limits.
People will no longer need to
fight for geographic power. We won't need to fixate on such issues as a
squabble over Syria. Do you understand what I mean? We need to look up. Mars can free us and
unite us.
Being an
American, I'm certainly very proud of the fact that in the United States there
exists four percent of the world population, but we have created half of all recent inventions. People around the
world use our inventions. China cannot boast a large number of inventions made
these days, but this country is growing, and the children of peasants are
becoming university students, and then scientists and engineers. Maybe
soon China will invent many things that everyone will use. But China's
development won’t do any harm to America; on the contrary, it will help it! If
Russia makes a number of inventions on a world scale, they will help to all
inhabitants of the planet. This will
help to everyone to progress.
I am an
inventor myself. Many of my inventions are related to space flight, but some have
applications on Earth. One of them will soon be put into production. We
are talking about a portable system for producing liquids from natural gas that is now being flared. Throughout
the world, including Russia, huge amounts of natural gas is being burned. But
natural gas contains components such as propane and butane, which can be converted
into a liquid and then transported and used. I invented a portable system that
lets this happen. The first field device is ready and is already being tested.
The invention will be used in the United States, and then, I'm sure, in Russia
as well. People in Russia have already shown some interest in
it.
Portable system for producing liquids from natural gas, developed by Robert Zubrin.
– The space
race between the Soviet Union and the United States led to a huge leap in the
development of mankind. And even if Gagarin didn’t fly into space and Armstrong
didn’t step onto the lunar surface, it would still be of great importance today
as advanced space technology was transferred to everyday life and is now widely
used in various spheres of life. How can the Mars exploration program affect
our lives even without actual colonization?
Yes, even
if we did not fly to the moon, we would still have made some progress. But as a
result of the "Apollo" program the number of graduates with majors in
science in the U.S. had doubled. It
refers to all levels of education: schools, colleges and graduate schools. We
got millions of new scientists, engineers, inventors, doctors, researchers,
businessmen operating in the technical fields. In the 1960s all these people
were little boys and their favorite toys were space rockets. Therefore, the
effect of landing on the moon was very significant for the United States. It is
not so much about technology, developed by NASA or contractors, although some
of them were very important – it is much more about the intellectual assets
that our society has acquired. People trying to get funding for the space
program sometimes claim that they will be able to discover a cure for cancer or
something like that in the space station. Well, that's possible, though it’s
unlikely to happen. But it’s very likely that a team of scientists who could
invent such a cure might well include a large number of people who were
inspired to become scientists by the
space program.
– How
should we deal with the formation of the future generation – those people who
will explore Mars?
I think the
most important thing in education and whether a teacher will prove to be
successful in their profession or not, is the interest of students in the
process of learning. You need to present your subject so that the children
become interested in it, to explain why they should study science, and instill
a love of learning at an early age. Before becoming an engineer, I worked as a
teacher for several years. I taught in both good and bad schools, and I
understood these things: anyone can teach those kids who want to learn, and no
one is able to teach those who do not want to. Desire to learn is much more
important than any equipment which a school has and much more important than
the textbooks used. Children need something to get inspiration from, and I think
the Mars Exploration Program is suitable for this role. Thanks to it, we'll
have more boys and girls who really
want to learn, so that they can be explorers of new worlds.
– What are
the obstacles to the Mars development? Is there no needed technology? Or it’s
just a lack of money?
There’s
never enough money, but that’s not the only problem. What matters is where you
spend the money. The United States spends more money on other things. Even if
they say that we are in a budget crisis and they need to cut expenses, the
budget of the U.S. government still is about $ 3.6 trillion. But NASA's budget
is $ 16 billion. It turns out that the budget of the U.S. government is 200
times greater than NASA's budget, and only 0.5 % of the total budget is spent
on space exploration. If we add one tenth to it, other sectors won’t lose significant funding. So it's not that
we have no money, it’s about whether we are ready to act. In fact we can afford
much more expenses: NASA’s
budget could be increased two or three times, but we don’t need this right now.
I think that we can implement our programs in the current budget if we have
proper focus and proper prioritization. Russia is not as rich as the United
States. I do not know the exact numbers, but I'm sure that in Russia, space
research receives also only a small portion of the state budget. I think Russia
can afford space exploration, and it’s not necessary to say what enormous
benefits it will bring. It will increase the intellectual capital; attract
young people to science and technology, which in turn will benefit the economy,
national defense, health care and everything else. Putin wants Russia to once
again become a great nation, and
great nations do great things.
Of course,
there are a number of technological problems on the way to Mars, but none of
them is insurmountable. For example, we need to build a heavy launch vehicle.
But we have already had a rocket, "Saturn 5", and Russia has had
"Energia". There are
many things to be done by engineers, and they need to be done right. But all of
them are within the technical capabilities of our era. There is nothing that needs to be done that we can not do.
Modern
technology allows us to reach Mars in six months. Of course, it would be better
if we could reduce the time of the journey, but there is no urgent need for
this. The time taken to travel from England to Australia in the 19th century
was also six months. The first colonists will take six months get to Mars in a
spacecraft. When our civilization settles on Mars, we will have an incentive to
develop better spaceships and a fusion engine that will allow us to reach the
Red Planet in just one month. Moreover, it will allow us to go to the outer solar system and then beyond.
Now a mission to Saturn would
take at least six years, but with the help of new technology we will reduce the
length of the journey to six months. Columbus
sailed across the Atlantic Ocean in a ship that, even fifty years later, no one
would have attempted to cross the ocean in. Until we started crossing the
ocean, there was no need for transoceanic ships. But after European civilization became
transatlantic, we moved forward, building three-masted sailing ships, then
steam ships, then ocean liners and in the end created a Boeing-747.
Something similar will be the case in space exploration. The first colonists will fly to Mars on such
ships, that when their grandchildren hear stories about the technical equipment
of their ancestors, they won’t believe that anyone could have traveled anywhere
in such ships because they will seem to have been so primitive.
Therefore, the main obstacles to the colonization of Mars today are political in nature. We have to convince politicians that it is necessary for them to embrace this challenge, that there are a number of problems they can solve this way. Some things are obvious: it is necessary to mobilize the national economy, technology, resources, research, to improve education, to create work and so on. Finally, we need to improve public morale, to create intellectual capital, the spirit of cooperation which will allow countries to act together. Some politicians are able to understand it, but why do we need to do it now? One reason is to improve international relations. Hostile international relations can lead to disaster for which there is no other prerequisite. Consequently it is important to diffuse the tension, which may now be increasing. This is a dangerous thing. A joint mission to Mars is one of the ways of creating trust and friendship.
– How did
you get the idea to create Mars society?
In 1996 I
published the first edition of my book "The Case for Mars", and then
I received 4,000 letters from around the world. Some of them were written by
astronauts, others by engineers from the NASA laboratory, school teachers,
firefighters, police officers, military widows, New York Opera managers and Paris bankers,
12-year-old Polish children and other people. It was incredible. Looking at the
huge pile of letters I said to myself:
what if we could unite all those people, then we would have the strength
to fulfill our plan. We announced the founding congress of the Martian Society
in Boulder, Colorado, and 700 people came there from all over the world. Of
course, most of them were from the U.S., but many Europeans also came to the congress. There were a few
Russians, but very few, even fewer than Poles. Even Cypriots and
representatives of Mozambique came.
The Mars Society then included
representatives from 40 countries. There were a few Russian citizens, but the chapter was not large and eventually
became inactive. Now there is renewed interest in forming a Mars Society
Russia. A Facebook group has been formed and hundreds of people have joined. We
plan to hold a founding convention in Moscow in April.
In America
the mission of the Mars Society
is to promote the idea in society, to help compatriots broaden their horizons.
We want to convince politicians to take our ideas seriously. We have already
achieved some success – for example we have helped to get the U.S. budget for
Mars robot exploration increased.
Mars Society organized two "Martian stations" on earth.
– What
projects have you started within the Mars Society?
We have two
"Martian stations" on earth. One of them is located in the Arctic, on
Devon Island (Flashline Mars Arctic Research Station), and the other is in the
American desert in Utah (Mars Desert Research Station).
In Utah, we
do a lot of research. We have had over 130 crews. Each group
spends about two weeks at the station. Then it is replaced by another group. A
group from Russia also came here last spring. We do not study the psychology of
long duration space flights. Instead we focus on another problem.
We conduct simulations to understand what research methods and techniques are
suitable for Mars, and what aren’t.
For
example, how much water does a team need? Physiological needs can be found in a
medical textbook. But this is only a small volume of the water that you use.
Much more water is used for washing up, cooking and other needs. Some people
like to have a long shower, but on Mars you won’t be able to do it. You just
step into the shower stall, turn on the water for a couple of seconds to wet
the body, then turn off the water, soap yourself and turn on the water for a
few more seconds to rinse the soap. We
can save even more water if we wipe the body with a wet sponge. But why should
we do it every day? How about once every two or three days? How far can you go
in being economical? It is a trade
between mass and morale. According to a NASA assessment, water
consumption is 30 liters per day, per
person. We managed to reduce this number to 12 liters during the
experiments, without affecting the
spirit of the crew. Even if we consider that most of the water will be
recycled, this would result in a significant reduction in mission mass.
Another
question is how effective is the use of space rovers on Mars. Once concept for such rovers would be
pressurized vehicles the size of an SUV car. You can drive it on the
planet's surface and sometimes wear a spacesuit to go outside for research. We
have shown that the use of smaller cars is much more effective. We are talking
about ATVs in which you can ride wearing a spacesuit. So your research becomes
more informal this way. Seeing an interesting stone, you can bend down and pick
it up. You do not need to go through
depressurization. And if the ATV gets stuck, one or two people are
enough to pull it out. Currently my Mars field exploration model has one rule: do not take what you cannot
lift. Given the shortage of special tools it is the right decision.
Here is another example. NASA is interested in remotely controlled
robots, and some people have supported them, making the argument that we should
take these robots to Mars with us, because when part of the team is not
exploring the planet on an ATV or doing
anything special, driving robots can give them something to do. Our experience
has shown that the crew doesn’t need other people to come up with new tasks for
them. They have a lot to do, and even if you deploy the robots only during rare
free moments, their effectiveness will be a thousand times lower than that of
living researchers. Therefore, only small remote control robots may have an
advantage if they can climb a cliff, or go into a small cave that is too small
for humans. In other words, these robots can access places where we can’t
otherwise reach, and they can therefore serve the crew as useful tools. But
large independent space rovers, like Curiosity or MER, will become obsolete
once humans are on Mars.
As for the
station in the Arctic, we have longer exploratory missions here. Expeditions
have shown what psychological difficulties are faced by researchers. Some
motivated individuals, who have waited for ages to be able to conduct research
in such an environment, joined the expedition, and their dream came true: they
are at the station in an exotic setting. They have limited time, and they go
out of their way to make the most of it. They work themselves in to a state of exhaustion. When I was with my team in
the Arctic, I had to constantly order them not to work after nine o’clock in
the evening. Otherwise, they would just become burned out.
Now we are
organizing an expedition to the Arctic station, which will last one year. We
called it "Mars Arctic 365".
Now we are recruiting volunteers. I hope the mission will begin next year, but
first we need to gather a good team and get funding.
– What are
your requirements for volunteers?
Volunteers
must be in good physical shape and between 22 and 65 years old. We need two
types of technical knowledge and skills: these people should either be
scientists, for example, geologists and microbiologists, or be good at
repairing things. Thirdly, we need someone with the skills of a doctor. At the
desert station the presence of such people wasn’t very important because nobody
stays there for more than two weeks and could go to the city for medical care.
But we can’t do without doctors in the Arctic.
– What do
you think about other initiatives, especially private ones, relating to Mars
exploration, and what role do you play in them?
As regards
the role of the Mars Society in
all these projects, first of all, we have helped inspire people like Elon Musk and Bas Lansdorp do something
that will bring Mars exploration closer. Elon founded the SpaceX Company, and
Bas launched a Mars One project. There are other people who are doing something
similar, drawing inspiration from us too. I became a consultant for the Mars
One project and now I’m working on the possible ways to cooperate. In turn, we
invited Mars One to participate in the Mars
Arctic 365 mission.
– What does
Mars exploration mean for you personally? Why do you devote all your energy to
it?
We live
only once, and for me the measure of human life is what a man has done. We are
looking for opportunities, looking for a place where we will be most useful. If
I can do something to achieve this common goal, my life becomes more
meaningful. That's why I do it.
Robert Zubrin near the model of the automatic station "Mars-1" in Moscow Memorial Museum of Astronautics.
– Are you
training a group of like-minded people who are willing to follow in your
footsteps and pass your ideas to future generations?
I hope that
the number of young people sharing these ideas will only increase, and that
some people will want to devote their life to them. I also hope to convey my
thoughts through books and activities within the Mars Society. In 2011 my book "The Case for Mars" was
published with updates. In the United States they have sold 100,000 copies of
it, even in Poland we have sold 10,000 copies. I also found a publisher in
Russia and they will publish my book in Russian too.
– Would you
like our distant descendants to talk about you as a person who helped our
civilization to survive?
Of course, I would be happy to be the man who helped people to get to Mars. But I would also be happy just to do something important to achieve this goal, and I will make every effort for it.
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